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797
FXUS64 KAMA 081111
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
511 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the forecast
period, with near average temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Fair weather conditions will continue throughout the short term
forecast period. The main H500, centered just east of the Gulf of
California in northern Mexico as of that latest 04Z obs continues
to gradually move east towards the Rio Grande River Valley by
Monday. Downstream of the main H500 low, some clouds are reaching
the far southern TX Panhandle, but all of the rain chances still
remain well south of the Panhandles. Mostly clear skies across all
of the Panhandles will return by Sunday and remain over the
region. High temperatures on Sunday will range from the mid 60s in
the western Panhandles to lower 70s in the eastern Panhandles,
with highs on Monday a degree or two warmer than Sunday across
the board.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Dry weather pattern continues across the Panhandles throughout the
long term forecast period. An H500 ridge will build into the
intermountain west by middle of next week. Latest 08/00Z model and
numerical guidance illustrate a deepening sinusoidal pattern that
will eventually result in an omega block setting up by the end of
the forecast period. Large scale UL subsidence over the ridge will
keep us dry. Overall temperatures through the coming work week
into the first half of the weekend will be near to slightly above
average as we approach mid November.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
No major chances were made to the 12Z TAF package. VFR conditions
are expected throughout the period with very light northwesterly
winds, generally under 8 kts, and mostly clear skies.
Rangel
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...55
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KAMA/FXUS64/20261108T1111.txt
775
FXUS64 KAMA 080511
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1111 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the forecast
period, with near average temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Fair weather conditions will continue throughout the short term
forecast period. The main H500, centered just east of the Gulf of
California in northern Mexico as of that latest 04Z obs continues
to gradually move east towards the Rio Grande River Valley by
Monday. Downstream of the main H500 low, some clouds are reaching
the far southern TX Panhandle, but all of the rain chances still
remain well south of the Panhandles. Mostly clear skies across all
of the Panhandles will return by Sunday and remain over the
region. High temperatures on Sunday will range from the mid 60s in
the western Panhandles to lower 70s in the eastern Panhandles,
with highs on Monday a degree or two warmer than Sunday across
the board.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Dry weather pattern continues across the Panhandles throughout the
long term forecast period. An H500 ridge will build into the
intermountain west by middle of next week. Latest 08/00Z model and
numerical guidance illustrate a deepening sinusoidal pattern that
will eventually result in an omega block setting up by the end of
the forecast period. Large scale UL subsidence over the ridge will
keep us dry. Overall temperatures through the coming work week
into the first half of the weekend will be near to slightly above
average as we approach mid November.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period with
very light northwesterly winds, generally under 8 kts, and mostly
clear skies.
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KAMA/FXUS64/20261108T0511.txt
627
FXUS64 KAMA 080418
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1018 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the forecast
period, with near average temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Fair weather conditions will continue throughout the short term
forecast period. The main H500, centered just east of the Gulf of
California in northern Mexico as of that latest 04Z obs continues
to gradually move east towards the Rio Grande River Valley by
Monday. Downstream of the main H500 low, some clouds are reaching
the far southern TX Panhandle, but all of the rain chances still
remain well south of the Panhandles. Mostly clear skies across all
of the Panhandles will return by Sunday and remain over the
region. High temperatures on Sunday will range from the mid 60s in
the western Panhandles to lower 70s in the eastern Panhandles,
with highs on Monday a degree or two warmer than Sunday across
the board.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 926 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Dry weather pattern continues across the Panhandles throughout the
long term forecast period. An H500 ridge will build into the
intermountain west by middle of next week. Latest 08/00Z model and
numerical guidance illustrate a deepening sinusoidal pattern that
will eventually result in an omega block setting up by the end of
the forecast period. Large scale UL subsidence over the ridge will
keep us dry. Overall temperatures through the coming work week
into the first half of the weekend will be near to slightly above
average as we approach mid November.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 519 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 00Z TAF period with
very light northwesterly winds, generally under 10 kts, and mostly
clear skies.
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KAMA/FXUS64/20261108T0418.txt
678
FXUS64 KAMA 072320
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
520 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the
forecast period, with near average temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
We continue to be under a somewhat split flow that will transition
to a northwest flow by Sunday. Overall, we have a cut-off low just
south of the AZ/NM border and that's expected to track south and
east more over Mexico through the weekend. There is wrap around
moisture with this system trying to creep it's way up to the
southern TX Panhandle, but overall it's expected that the moisture
wont make it much further north than the Lubbock area today. As we
move into Sunday, the low will shift east and begin to weaken as it
starts to get absorbed in the upper high. Moisture remains even
further south and that keeps us dry for Sunday.
Weber
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Monday the broad scale high does start to flatten out into a more
zonal flow. Very mild conditions will continue with near normal
temperatures. High pressure will build over the western part of the
US on Tuesday and will start to progress east. As we move to
Wednesday and Thursday we start to get some divergence in the models
and while it does appear that we'll have a weak frontal system
Wednesday afternoon that may bring down temperatures a few degrees,
Thursday is the bigger day in question. For a few days now models
have, and continue to be split on an amplified high over the west to
central CONUS with a deepening low over the Great Lakes region. The
split is how far west that colder air will expand, and that will
have a much larger impact on if we can expect highs in the 70s, to
possibly 50s on Thursday. Regardless of if we get the backdoor cold
front or it stays far enough east, Friday should be a transition day
as the ridge builds further east and warmer air either holds or
moves over the Panhandles. Right now NBM temperatures are very much
seasonal, but the more probable highs on Thursday would be closer to
the 25th or 75th percentile and the same goes for Friday. We'll
just have to see how this cold airmass to the east plays out.
Weber
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 519 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 00Z TAF period with
very light northwesterly winds, generally under 10 kts, and mostly
clear skies.
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...29
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KAMA/FXUS64/20261107T2320.txt
356
FXUS64 KAMA 071800
AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1200 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the
forecast period, with near average temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
We continue to be under a somewhat split flow that will transition
to a northwest flow by Sunday. Overall, we have a cut-off low just
south of the AZ/NM border and that's expected to track south and
east more over Mexico through the weekend. There is wrap around
moisture with this system trying to creep it's way up to the
southern TX Panhandle, but overall it's expected that the moisture
wont make it much further north than the Lubbock area today. As we
move into Sunday, the low will shift east and begin to weaken as it
starts to get absorbed in the upper high. Moisture remains even
further south and that keeps us dry for Sunday.
Weber
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Monday the broad scale high does start to flatten out into a more
zonal flow. Very mild conditions will continue with near normal
temperatures. High pressure will build over the western part of the
US on Tuesday and will start to progress east. As we move to
Wednesday and Thursday we start to get some divergence in the models
and while it does appear that we'll have a weak frontal system
Wednesday afternoon that may bring down temperatures a few degrees,
Thursday is the bigger day in question. For a few days now models
have, and continue to be split on an amplified high over the west to
central CONUS with a deepening low over the Great Lakes region. The
split is how far west that colder air will expand, and that will
have a much larger impact on if we can expect highs in the 70s, to
possibly 50s on Thursday. Regardless of if we get the backdoor cold
front or it stays far enough east, Friday should be a transition day
as the ridge builds further east and warmer air either holds or
moves over the Panhandles. Right now NBM temperatures are very much
seasonal, but the more probable highs on Thursday would be closer to
the 25th or 75th percentile and the same goes for Friday. We'll
just have to see how this cold airmass to the east plays out.
Weber
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with mostly clear
skies, light and variable winds for the majority of the TAF period.
There has been some haze at KDHT which may continue for a few hours
bringing MVFR vis to the airport so have kept a TEMPO group through
22z.
Weber
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...89
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KAMA/FXUS64/20261107T1800.txt
